While the odds of a stormy autum have increased in the UK, it would appear that El Niño has kept things even quieter than expected in the Atlantic, where they are still waiting for the first named hurricane. If none form before 30 November 2026, it would be only the third such season on record, matching with 1914 and 1907. Though it’s worth pointing out those years were before the satellite era.
While no hurricanes sounds like a win-win, they do actually play a role in moving excess heat away from the equatorial oceans, bringing fresh water to drought-prone areas, and can help marine ecosystems by breaking up toxic bacteria or red tide algae.
The main point is that El Niño affects the balance of our planet’s weather patterns, and given this natural climate driver is happening on top of an already warmer world, I suspect we’ll be talking about it for months to come.
Too much doom and gloom? Lift your mood with my Cloud of the Day explainers (now on TikTok, YouTube as well as Instagram). Or tackle our MetMatters cryptic clues for September, set by our wonderful wordsmith Britta Parrish.
- Hot air he made to confuse (4,4)
- Stress you are heard expressing initially after crowd (8)
- The discredited science of determining character from the skull; not right! It can be used to study natural timings (9)
See you next month,
Kirsty McCabe, FRMetS
Editor, MetMatters
Answers from August's newsletter:
- DROUGHT - Unusually dry and rough in deadliest case (7)
- SOLAR ECLIPSE - Luminary overshadowed by clip sequence, not entirely following notes (5,7)
- DERECHO - Direct storm sequence in order? Echoed! (7)